What Causes Pe= ople to Vote they Way they Vote
Wed= nesday, May 20, 2009
12:= 14 PM
Political Socialization
If they are interested in the race
Turnout for local primaries very light
Family
Most influential factor
As people get = older they tend to get more independent
Religion
Perhaps less of a factor now
Still try to influence
Churches can't be politically active as tax exempt
IRS is lax on that
Fight between sides on that
Gender
Women vote at a higher rate than men
Women are a higher proportion of the voting age population
Must be concerned about female votes
Concerned about education, health
Less about stocks and foreign policy
Woman more likely than men to favor Democrats
Schooling
More education you had the more likely to be republican
Blue collar democratic
White collar republican
Has it changed now?
Race
African Americans Republican until 1932
Since freed slaves
Latino becoming more important
Regions
South
Civil war until 1932 solid Conservative democrat "solid south"
Gradually switched
70s and 80s Conservative Republican
Republicans moved to the conservative and people from the south think the new democrats= are too liberal
Obama broke into that somewhat
Especially as some parts become more cosmopolitan (influx of northerners)
Northeast
Generally very liberal
Maine has the 2 very liberal Republicans
Midwest
Solid republican
Democrats breaking in due to high unemployment
California
Votes democratic generally
But Gov. Schwarzenegger is a republican
He does not fit the mold
Psychological<= /p>
Image of the candidate
Power of the image/photography
How well they do on TV
Speech giving
Sarah Palin really got screwed by Tina Fay
Many people thought she actually said some things fay made up
Though she did set herself up for it
Issue preferen= ce
Party identifi= cation
Weakest
Except really local races where you don't know the people
Especially with judges
What Causes Pe= ople to Vote they Way they Vote
Wed= nesday, May 20, 2009
12:= 14 PM
Political Socialization
If they are interested in the race
Turnout for local primaries very light
Family
Most influential factor
As people get = older they tend to get more independent
Religion
Perhaps less of a factor now
Still try to influence
Churches can't be politically active as tax exempt
IRS is lax on that
Fight between sides on that
Gender
Women vote at a higher rate than men
Women are a higher proportion of the voting age population
Must be concerned about female votes
Concerned about education, health
Less about stocks and foreign policy
Woman more likely than men to favor Democrats
Schooling
More education you had the more likely to be republican
Blue collar democratic
White collar republican
Has it changed now?
Race
African Americans Republican until 1932
Since freed slaves
Latino becoming more important
Regions
South
Civil war until 1932 solid Conservative democrat "solid south"
Gradually switched
70s and 80s Conservative Republican
Republicans moved to the conservative and people from the south think the new democrats= are too liberal
Obama broke into that somewhat
Especially as some parts become more cosmopolitan (influx of northerners)
Northeast
Generally very liberal
Maine has the 2 very liberal Republicans
Midwest
Solid republican
Democrats breaking in due to high unemployment
California
Votes democratic generally
But Gov. Schwarzenegger is a republican
He does not fit the mold
Psychological<= /p>
Image of the candidate
Power of the image/photography
How well they do on TV
Speech giving
Sarah Palin really got screwed by Tina Fay
Many people thought she actually said some things fay made up
Though she did set herself up for it
Issue preferen= ce
Party identifi= cation
Weakest
Except really local races where you don't know the people
Especially with judges