What Causes People
to Vote they Way they Vote

Wednesday,
May 20, 2009

12:14 PM

Political
Socialization

If they are
interested in the race

Turnout
for local primaries very light

Family

Most
influential factor

As people get older
they tend to get more independent

Religion

Perhaps
less of a factor now

Still
try to influence

Churches
can't be politically active as tax exempt

IRS
is lax on that

Fight
between sides on that

Gender

Women
vote at a higher rate than men

Women
are a higher proportion of the voting age population

Must
be concerned about female votes

Concerned
about education, health

Less
about stocks and foreign policy

Woman
more likely than men to favor Democrats

Schooling

More
education you had the more likely to be republican

Blue
collar democratic

White
collar republican

Has
it changed now?

Race

African
Americans Republican until 1932

Since
freed slaves

Latino
becoming more important

Regions

South

Civil
war until 1932 solid Conservative democrat "solid south"

Gradually
switched

70s
and 80s Conservative Republican

Republicans
moved to the conservative and people from the south think the new democrats are
too liberal

Obama
broke into that somewhat

Especially
as some parts become more cosmopolitan (influx of northerners)

Northeast

Generally
very liberal

Maine
has the 2 very liberal Republicans

Midwest

Solid
republican

Democrats
breaking in due to high unemployment

California

Votes
democratic generally

But
Gov. Schwarzenegger is a republican

He
does not fit the mold

Psychological

Image
of the candidate

Power
of the image/photography

How
well they do on TV

Speech
giving

Sarah
Palin really got screwed by Tina Fay

Many
people thought she actually said some things fay made up

Though
she did set herself up for it

Issue preference

Party identification

Weakest

Except
really local races where you don't know the people

Especially
with judges

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What Causes People
to Vote they Way they Vote

Wednesday,
May 20, 2009

12:14 PM

Political
Socialization

If they are
interested in the race

Turnout
for local primaries very light

Family

Most
influential factor

As people get older
they tend to get more independent

Religion

Perhaps
less of a factor now

Still
try to influence

Churches
can't be politically active as tax exempt

IRS
is lax on that

Fight
between sides on that

Gender

Women
vote at a higher rate than men

Women
are a higher proportion of the voting age population

Must
be concerned about female votes

Concerned
about education, health

Less
about stocks and foreign policy

Woman
more likely than men to favor Democrats

Schooling

More
education you had the more likely to be republican

Blue
collar democratic

White
collar republican

Has
it changed now?

Race

African
Americans Republican until 1932

Since
freed slaves

Latino
becoming more important

Regions

South

Civil
war until 1932 solid Conservative democrat "solid south"

Gradually
switched

70s
and 80s Conservative Republican

Republicans
moved to the conservative and people from the south think the new democrats are
too liberal

Obama
broke into that somewhat

Especially
as some parts become more cosmopolitan (influx of northerners)

Northeast

Generally
very liberal

Maine
has the 2 very liberal Republicans

Midwest

Solid
republican

Democrats
breaking in due to high unemployment

California

Votes
democratic generally

But
Gov. Schwarzenegger is a republican

He
does not fit the mold

Psychological

Image
of the candidate

Power
of the image/photography

How
well they do on TV

Speech
giving

Sarah
Palin really got screwed by Tina Fay

Many
people thought she actually said some things fay made up

Though
she did set herself up for it

Issue preference

Party identification

Weakest

Except
really local races where you don't know the people

Especially
with judges